The Saints and Seahawks have delivered some memorable moments over the years, perhaps none more outstanding than Marshawn Lynch sinking the Saints with his “Beast Quake” in 2011. We’re not getting our hopes up for anything near as iconic on Week 7’s Monday Night Football matchup, especially with Las Vegas sportsbooks opening the total in the low-40s. However, we still like some of the DFS value picks available that will allow us to splurge at the top of this DraftKings Showdown lineup.
A quick recap of the scoring settings for DraftKings Showdown contests: They’re full-point PPR and there are three-point bonuses for 300 passing yards, 100 rushing yards, and 100 receiving yards. The Captain pick costs 1.5 times a player’s original price, but he also gets his point total multiplied by 1.5.
MORE DK SHOWDOWN: How to win a Showdown contest
DraftKings Showdown Picks: Saints vs. Seahawks
$50,000 budget, need at least one player from each team.
Captain (1.5x value, 1.5x points): Alvin Kamara, Saints ($19,200)
Kamara’s price is certainly prohibitive, but it’s a necessary expenditure in this case. With 109 touches, Kamara paces the Saints in volume. That’s not a surprise. Perhaps mildly surprising is that the No. 2 in that department has a grand total of 23. Not only has Kamara handled 47.6 percent of the team’s volume, but his four touchdowns also lead the team. Quarterback Taysom Hill has been a bit of a thorn in Kamara’s side with three rushing scores to his name, but he’ll be sidelined with a concussion. While it’s obviously no guarantee, it’s not absurd to bank on multiple touchdowns from Kamara this week.
FLEX: QB Geno Smith, Seahawks ($9,400)
There is risk rolling with Smith over Jameis Winston ($11,800), but we’re willing to roll the dice in spite of Smith’s lackluster effort in his first start. The 11.3 DraftKings points he delivered against the Steelers didn’t instill much confidence. While the Saints won’t offer much relief in terms of defensive quality, perhaps playing at home and having more reps under center will allow him to approach the 20-point threshold. Winston has certainly demonstrated a higher ceiling, but he’s been held below 13.5 DK points in three of his five contests, as well.
FLEX: WR Marquez Callaway, Saints ($8,600)
Lead wide receiver Michael Thomas (ankle) is nearing a return, but for now, Callaway will continue to serve as a target-dominant piece of the Saints’ offense. His 21 looks trail Kamara by one, and his three touchdowns are tied for second on the team. While 4.2 looks per game leaves us open to volatility, we like rolling the dice on his 17.1 yards per catch and 61.9-percent catch rate. Betting on efficiency in this type of spot can be a gamble, but that’s what makes the DFS juice worth the squeeze, right?
FLEX: TE Gerald Everett, Seahawks ($4,400)
Everett made his return from the COVID list to play a modest 31 snaps (48 percent) and garner an even more modest three targets last week. We’re not expecting big target numbers from Everett this week — or ever, for that matter — but that doesn’t mean he can’t provide what we need on Monday. Everett found paydirt in Week 1 and produced a 5-54 line in Week 3. Nobody is writing home to brag about those “milestones.” However, another week removed from his illness and (presumably) more chemistry built with Smith could put him in position to approach a performance closer to his ceiling.
FLEX: RB Rashaad Penny, Seahawks ($2,600)
Be sure to double check injury reports prior to Monday night’s contest. Temporary starter Alex Collins (groin) missed practice Thursday and Friday, so even though head coach Pete Carroll expects him to play, there should be a healthy skepticism about his effectiveness and availability. Remember, Carroll voiced his optimism regarding Chris Carson’s status before the back landed on IR because of a neck injury. If Penny (calf) is activated from his own IR stint — as he’s expected to be — and thrust into a starter’s workload, we like the potential and the price.
Alternative Consideration: Saints’ wide receiver Tre’Quan Smith (hamstring) returned to practice this week and is expected to make his 2021 debut. Smith caught 34 passes on 50 targets for 13.2 yards per reception and a 68-percent catch rate in 2020. Whether he’s able to hit the ground running after such a long layoff remains to be seen, but he could emerge as a superior option to Penny by the time this tilt kicks off.
FLEX: TE Adam Trautman, Saints ($1,800)
Many profitable DFS lineups — particularly on the Showdown slate — include an unheralded producer to get the lineup into the green. Trautman is that choice for us on Monday night. Trautman’s season totals of 10 targets and six receptions for 64 yards are often easily matched in single games by multiple tight ends, but that doesn’t preclude him from delivering in this particular case. For the record, Juwan Johnson has an identical 6-64 line (on 11 targets) and serves as a viable option here, as well. He has the edge over Trautman with three touchdowns, but Trautman has out-snapped Johnson 212 to 58. Wide receiver Tre’Quan Smith (hamstring) may return on Monday night, but Deonte Harris (hamstring) has been ruled out. Additionally, Taysom Hill’s absence will open opportunities for others in the offense.
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